Sunday, April 05, 2009

Worrisome Trend: FHA Sees Rise in Defaults on Its Mortgages


by: Les Blumenthal | Visit article original @ McClatchy Newspapers

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A sheriff's sale on Mercy James's rental property was canceled at the last minute. (Photo: Sally Ryan / The New York Times)

Washington - As the Federal Housing Administration has stepped in to help stabilize the housing market by underwriting more mortgages, the Depression-era agency is seeing growing default rates that could undermine its health, the Department of Housing and Urban Development inspector general testified Thursday.

Kenneth Donohue also told the Senate Appropriations housing subcommittee that unscrupulous lenders who helped precipitate the housing crisis with subprime loans are moving into the FHA loan system, and the number of fraud cases is a growing concern.

Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., who chairs the subcommittee, said that if the FHA can't pay its debts, Congress may have to cover the shortfall.

"And we don't have the dollars to do it," Murray said.

While some see the FHA as the "savior of the market," Murray said, she's concerned the agency suffers from outdated technology, personnel shortages and inadequate underwriting.

"Just because FHA has become a major player in saving the housing market doesn't mean these challenges have disappeared," she said.

In addition to the resurgence of FHA-guaranteed mortgage loans and the stimulus bill, lower interest rates and an $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit are helping to stabilize the market, J. Lennox Scott, the chief executive of John L. Scott Real Estate in Washington state, told the committee.

Two years ago, FHA-backed loans made up only a small percentage of the housing market. The agency didn't underwrite subprime or adjustable rate loans. As prices rose, the FHA was barred from writing loans on mortgages above $362,500.

The maximum was raised in the stimulus bill to nearly $730,000. As subprime loans and adjustable rate loans disappeared, the FHA now guarantees nearly 30 percent of mortgages. At the same time, the number of lenders doing business with the FHA has grown more than 500 percent.

"As is the case with other mortgage market participants, currently FHA is experiencing elevated default rates and foreclosures and with it, losses that exceed prior estimates," HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan said.

Donovan said the primary reason for the defaults were growing unemployment and other economic factors. Donovan said FHA-guaranteed loans didn't include "unsafe features" and poor underwriting that made subprime and other loans risky.

About 7 percent of FHA loans are delinquent, greater than 90 days or in foreclosure, compared with more than 23 percent of subprime loans, he said.

However, Donohue said the delinquent rate can be misleading. As of Sept. 30, the FHA's reserve fund for single-family loan guarantees was $12.9 billion, down almost 40 percent from a year earlier.

Pressed about whether the FHA may need a significant bailout, Donohue said, "It's hard to say. Based on the numbers we have seen it is going in the wrong direction."

He said that "for FHA to realize its full potential to respond to the current mortgage crisis, it will require additional resources and development of new and innovative reform initiatives."

The FHA could raise the rate it charges for the mortgage guarantees or ask Congress for more money.

Under questioning from Murray, Donovan said he, too, worried that the FHA may not have all the procedures in place to guard against fraudulent lenders.

"I am absolutely concerned and focused to ensure troubled lenders don't migrate to FHA" Donovan said.

"The surge in FHA loans is likely to overtax the oversight resources of the FHA, making careful and comprehensive lender oversight difficult," he said. "In addition, our experience in prior FHA volume periods shows the program was vulnerable to exploitation by fraud schemes . . . that undercut the integrity of the program."

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1 comment:

COACHING BY PETER said...

This article is very timely and relevant. As I quote Cameron Muir, an economist, "Home sales are unlikely to fall much further..That being said we expect home sales not to decline much further."

But it's never too late, with the right business plan set up, it will lead to valuable outcome. This is what most counselors would give as an advise.